⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Dillon Dingler 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 5 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 6 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 9 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 10 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Christian Walker 4 HRs 1 Dillon Dingler 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 5 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 6 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 9 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 10 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Christian Walker 4 HRs
Collin Price
Collin Price
· vs Jared Jones · 8:10p
Collin Price

Collin Price

Today's Matchup PIT @ HOU · 8:10p
Jared Jones (RHP)
HR/FB 66.7% ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. Higher = more HR-prone. League avg is ~12%. HR/9 4.19 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. Higher = pitcher gives up more longballs. FIP 7.8 ?Fielding Independent Pitching — isolates pitcher skill from defense. Higher FIP = more HR-vulnerable.
#7 🔵 C+
Minute Maid Park Park × 1.077 ?Park factor for this stadium. Values above 1.0 boost HR probability; below 1.0 suppress it. Based on multi-year park HR data.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.345
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
99th pctile
92.4
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
89th pctile
11.6%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
86th pctile
36.1%
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball. >18% elite, league avg ~12%.
98th pctile
390
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
35th pctile
0.0%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
0.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
32.0%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
98th pctile
36
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
🤷
No results history for Collin Price
This batter hasn't appeared in the scored pool yet.
LD 3.2.102

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.